Thursday, 28 August 2008

Gloomy forecast by Bank of England governor King

THE governor of the Bank of England has warned that the UK economy faces its toughest challenges since 1997.

The UK faces “a period of above-target inflation and a marked slowing in growth”, Mervyn King told business leaders. The speech has been described as the gloomiest Mr King has ever given.

He said: “2008 is likely to see higher energy prices, higher food prices and, with a lower exchange rate, higher import prices, pushing inflation above the 2 per cent target.”

He said it was possible that consumer price inflation – measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) – would rise to 3 per cent or more.

Mr King also warned that problems in the banking sector relating to huge losses as a result of investments in US sub-prime home loans, meant businesses and consumers would face higher borrowing costs for the foreseeable future. “It is likely that a less buoyant housing market will go hand-in-hand with slower growth of consumer spending,” he said. “Tighter credit conditions mean that, as a nation, we are likely to save more of our income this year than in the recent past.”

“In the short run, that will slow economic activity, possibly quite sharply.

“And there is a risk that weaker activity and lower asset prices could result in another round of losses for banks and a further tightening of credit conditions.”

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